Once again I've compiled the season into this quaint little overview. Maybe someday this will be replaced with GPT3, or GTP4, but for now it's still handcrafted.
Overall:
Underdogs beat the spread 140 times (51.5%)
Favorites covered the spread 130 times (47.8%)
There were 2 pushes (0.7%)
Last year was 132/116/7
Large Numbers:
The largest spread was 17.5 in week 7, Arizona vs Houston, which Arizona covered 31-5. This breaks the NY Jets two year streak of being involved in the largest spread.
Common Numbers:
Jumping from second to first in the race for most common spread was 2.5, narrowly edging out 3 this season, 30-29. Unsurprisingly the 3 point spread was a dead heat with favorites covering 15 times and underdogs beating 14 times. Now, 2.5 got weird with only 9 favorites covering and 21 underdogs beating the spread. As they kids say these days…daaaaaaaaang.
Odd Numbers:
So 2.5 should get mentioned here, but I already gave you the details. Next up is 5.5 with 2 favorites covering and 9 underdogs beating the spread. A single point saw 9 favorites cover and only 4 underdogs beat. 10.5 was 8 favorites covering and only 3 underdogs beating the spread.
Favorites:
Coming from seemingly out of nowhere, Dallas took the crown with an 11-3 record at covering the spread. Way to go, Big D! KC slightly reversed their situation from last season (5-8 as favorites) with a 9-8 record when favored.
Baltimore was our top loser, failing to cover 9 times. Nine times… Cleveland, KC, and Tampa Bay all tied with 8 failures in this category.
Underdogs:
Detroit, a not very good football team, managed to beat the spread 10 times this season, but failed 7 times. Yes, that means they were never favored in a single game. This should shock nobody. Pittsburgh was 8-4 beating the spread.
Jacksonville had a very, very hard time beating the spread, going 5-10. Chicago, Houston, NY Giants, NY Jets, and the Washington WTF’s all tied with 9 failures to beat the spread.
